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Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs: Preview, Odds, and Predictions

October 12, 2025 by Last Word On Pro Football

After a tough Monday night outing against the Jaguars that saw the Kansas City Chiefs lose a nail-biter due to several un-Chiefs-like self-inflicted mistakes, the team of the decade returns to Arrowhead to host arguably the team of the season so far — the Detroit Lions. While the Kansas City Chiefs might still sit below .500 after five weeks of football, this matchup has the feel of one of the biggest regular-season games of the year, with a potential Super Bowl preview still very much possible.

In a game that should have everything, here’s a complete preview and prediction for this Sunday night showdown.

Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Lions (+115) vs. Chiefs (-135)

Spread: Lions (+1.5) vs. Chiefs (-1.5)

Over/Under: Over 52.5 (-110)/Under 52.5 (-110)

Team News

The Detroit Lions enter Sunday night’s matchup in Kansas City with several injury concerns , particularly on defense. Four players had already been ruled out: starting cornerback Terrion Arnold (shoulder), reserve linebacker Zach Cunningham (hamstring), running back Sione Vaki (groin), and defensive lineman Alim McNeill (knee). The list has since grown, with left tackle Taylor Decker (shoulder), cornerback Avonte Maddox (hamstring), and offensive lineman Giovanni Manu (knee) also ruled out. The Lions will remain without cornerback D.J. Reed and special teams defensive back Khalil Dorsey, who are still on injured reserve.

Three key starters, safety Kerby Joseph (knee), defensive back Brian Branch (ankle), and wide receiver Kalif Raymond (neck), are officially questionable, though only Raymond logged limited participation in Friday’s practice.

The Kansas City Chiefs, meanwhile, will enjoy a near-complete roster for this primetime showdown. Every player on Friday’s injury report was a full participant, including WR Xavier Worthy (shoulder/ankle), who sat out Thursday as a precaution. The only absence will be Rashee Rice, serving the final game of his six-game suspension.

Game Preview

One of the biggest storylines entering Sunday night’s matchup is whether the Kansas City Chiefs’ offense can keep pace with the Detroit Lions, the NFL’s No. 1 scoring unit, averaging 34.8 points per game. After recent years of defensive dominance under Steve Spagnuolo, Chiefs defense has looked more vulnerable this season, giving Dan Campbell’s explosive Lions offense a real opportunity to strike early and often.

That said, when Patrick Mahomes is under center, no shootout ever feels out of reach. Over his last ten quarters, Mahomes has thrown six touchdown passes, rushed for another, and committed just one turnover. His recent surge has coincided with the return of Xavier Worthy , whose elite speed has stretched defenses vertically. That deep-threat dynamic could be crucial against a depleted Detroit secondary while also helping jump-start a Chiefs running game that has struggled all season, with Mahomes still leading the team in rushing yards.

On the other side, Jared Goff has quietly become one of the league’s most efficient passers, completing over 70% of his throws since the start of 2023. Surrounded by a stacked supporting cast that includes one of the NFL’s best running back duos, Goff leads an offense that win in multiple ways. He’s shown improvement against the blitz, but that will be tested against a Chiefs defense that loves to send exotic blitz packages towards the quarterbacks.

The Packers and Browns this season have shown that disrupting Goff’s rhythm is key, as his numbers dip sharply when hurried. While Kansas City lacks an elite edge rusher like Micah Parsons or Myles Garrett, Chris Jones remains their most disruptive force. If Detroit’s offensive line holds firm, Goff has the poise and accuracy to pick apart Kansas City’s secondary and keep the Lions rolling.

Key Players

Aidan Hutchinson (Lions): While the Chiefs might not have a premier edge rusher in their dynastic roster, the Lions certainly do. Hutchinson missed a crucial stretch of the last season, a period that saw Detroit’s defense fall to levels of depletion rarely seen in the league. Now back healthy, he hasn’t missed a beat, already recording 5.0 sacks and three forced fumbles. He’ll put the newly built Chiefs offensive line to the test and make sure Patrick Mahomes not only gets sacked but also can’t extend plays, something that is a staple of his game.

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs): When the Chiefs play, it’s always about Mahomes. After yet another slow start to a regular season, he has shown plenty of promise in recent weeks and looked back to his best for large stretches of the past two games. But we can’t forget that, in between those outings, he threw a game-altering pick-six , one that may not have directly cost Kansas City the game against Jacksonville but certainly played a role in the loss. With the Chiefs under pressure and at risk of falling two games below .500, Mahomes must once again turn into Superman and save the day — just as he has for much of the past decade.

Prediction: Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs

While the Lions enter with more momentum and balance, the Chiefs’ offense finally seems to be finding its groove — marking their first stretch of back-to-back productive regular season outings in a while. This is a true heavyweight clash: a confident Lions team against a desperate Chiefs squad with the best player in football on its side. Expect a tight, high-scoring battle decided by just a few key plays.

History says Jared Goff has never lost to Patrick Mahomes, but with Kansas City at home and under pressure, it’s hard to bet against #15 in this spot.

Prediction: Lions 27 – 31 Chiefs

Main Photo Credit: Syndication: Detroit Free Press

The post Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs: Preview, Odds, and Predictions appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football .

Filed Under: Lions

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